Or maybe it’s just a staging of the same one-act play.
Scene one: Unsubstantiated rhetoric about a major Middle Eastern country secretly harboring weapons of mass destruction.
Scene two: The CIA presents findings to the White House that undermines this idea. The findings are rejected, and the rhetoric continues unabated.
Scene Three: Major media campaign in favor of doing something before it’s too late.
Scene Four: Military action initiated. When it eventually turns out that there was no good reason for it, everyone blames the CIA for bad intelligence.
Next: Curtains (for hundreds, thousands, or hundreds of thousands of human beings).